Peak Oil, Climate Change and Transition Links for further reading
Peak Oil Links:
Have a look at some of these website and judge for yourself how Peak Oil will affect you, your family and your community. Then come and join us!
www.PowerSwitch.org.uk - perhaps the best website on Peak Oil
www.energybulletin.net/node/4638 - The Hirsch Report
Climate Change Links:
Transition and other solutions Links:
http://www.transitiontowns.org/ : Transition main web site
http://www.zerocarbonbritain.com/ : Blueprint for Britain
Transition in Cornwall:
Cornwall Network: http://transitioncornwallnetwork.org.uk
St Endellion: http://stendellion.com/
StGennys: http://www.transitionnc.org/?q=node/13 and http://www.transitionstgennys.org.uk/
Kernow Action Now! (KAN!): http://kernowaction.wordpress.com/
Transition Scilly: www.transitionscilly.org.uk
Peak Oil Climate Change and Transition in the news:
More about Peak Oil
Peak Oil refers to the maximum rate of global oil production, after which production will begin to irreversibly decline. The production rate of oil always follows a bell-shaped curve: first oil is discovered, then the rate increases until it reaches a peak, after which it becomes impossible to pump oil at the same rate and production falls. Many countries have already reached their peak in oil production (e.g. USA 1972, UK 1999), and it is predicted that the others will soon follow. The peak in world discovery of oil was reached as long ago as in 1962, and discoveries have been declining ever since. This means that there is no prospect of any significant discoveries of oil in the future or any significant increases in production.
A growing consensus from the scientific community, world leaders and the oil industry confirms that we are approaching Peak Oil and there indications that we may have already reached Peak Oil. Since oil is a finite, non-renewable resource and we are now consuming more than five barrels of oil for every one that is discovered, it is inevitable that demand will outstrip supply, with a consequent decline in world oil availability. That does not mean that we are 'running out of oil', but it does mean that we are 'running out of cheap oil' and that less oil will be produced each year, halving our primary energy source every 20 years or so.
Oil companies have extracted all the easy to get, high quality oil and although there is plenty of oil remaining, its low quality means that it will take increasing amounts of money and energy to extract and refine. If it takes one barrel's worth of oil energy to extract one barrel of oil, then further extraction simply isn't economically viable as no 'additional' energy would be gained.
Further more, as nations compete with each other for the remaining oil, both of lower quality and declining quantities, the price of oil will increase dramatically.
Peak Oil is not a theory; it is a geological reality that describes the problem of energy resource depletion. Oil demand will continue to rise, supplies will become ever more limited, oil prices will rise and fossil fuel shortages will become increasingly widespread. During a recession, prices tend to collapse down to production base, which has the disastrous effect of discouraging investment in alternative technologies. Then, as recovery is approached, prices skyrocket again, killing off any recovery at birth. After a few years of this energy seesaw, oil depletion will cause prices to stay high even during recessions.
Over the last hundred and fifty years, oil has fuelled incredible economic and population growth, underpinning every industry, and every aspect of our lives, from agriculture to transport to housing. If we do not prepare for Peak Oil, the consequences will be severe.